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Trump le pidió a América Latina que use a los militares para combatir al narco. Eso tiene más de un riesgo

Kraig Pakulski 0 13 Article rating: No rating

Por Sol Amaya, CNN en Español

La Hidra de Lerna era un monstruo acuático con cuerpo de serpiente y numerosas cabezas. Su poder –casi— indestructible radicaba en dos fortalezas. Por un lado, su aliento venenoso, que causaba la muerte inmediata a quien lo respirara. Por otro lado, cada vez que alguien cortaba una de sus tantas cabezas, dos nuevas se generaban.

Como en el mito griego, en la realidad del crimen organizado de América Latina los operativos que apuntan a “cortar cabezas” de los carteles, como el que acabó con la vida del líder del CJNG en México, tienen un límite para acabar con el “monstruo”: por cada capo narco que cae, hay varios dispuestos a sucederlo.

La estrategia actual, sin embargo, corre por un camino paralelo a ese dato. Este sábado, el presidente de Estados Unidos, Donald Trump, recibió en Florida a una decena de líderes de América Latina que participaron en su denominada Cumbre Escudo de las Américas. Allí se acordó la conformación de una “coalición militar” contra el crimen organizado. No estaban invitados a este evento los mandatarios de Colombia ni México, dos países que enfrentan a los carteles desde hace décadas y que están atravesados por buena parte de las rutas del narcotráfico.

Para entender a qué “monstruo” se enfrenta la región, primero hay que hablar de algunos datos concretos.

Sucesión y fragmentación

Analistas consultados por CNN coinciden en que descabezar organizaciones criminales difícilmente ponga fin al problema del tráfico de drogas. Siempre hay varios candidatos para reemplazar al líder caído. Por otra parte, las peleas por sucederlo suelen crear fragmentaciones y luchas violentas por el liderazgo. Eso complica la posibilidad de respuesta del Estado.

“Ahí donde hay muchos grupos que se disputan territorio, se disputan negocios, ahí la violencia se exacerba y se van generando estas unidades autónomas. Esto es lo más peligroso”, explica Marcelo Bergman, sociólogo y experto en criminalidad. “Estos grupos terminan peleándose entre ellos, llevando a cabo ejecuciones, extorsionando, creando pánico en las sociedades”.

Esto no solo se observa con los carteles en México, sino también en organizaciones criminales de varios países de la región. “Un caso muy notorio es el de Ecuador, donde varias bandas se disputan por control de rutas, aparentemente para traficar la cocaína que sale de Colombia y entra a Ecuador para después salir por el Pacífico hacia México y luego hacia Estados Unidos”, explica Bergman.

En el último año, Ecuador ha vivido una creciente violencia. La ONG Armed Conflict Location & Event Data (ACLED, por sus siglas en inglés) lo ubica entre los diez países más violentos del mundo, con gran parte de su población expuesta a la amenaza del crimen organizado. Apenas un ejemplo de esta situación fue el reciente hallazgo de cinco cabezas humanas colgadas en la playa de Puerto López, en la provincia de Manabí.

Pero Ecuador no está solo en este infame ranking. Según la Oficina de las Naciones Unidas contra la Droga y el Delito (UNODC, por sus siglas en inglés) con apenas el 9% de la población mundial, América Latina y el Caribe son escenario de casi un tercio de los homicidios globales y un 40% de esas muertes están relacionadas al crimen organizado y las pandillas.

Diversificación y uso de la tecnología

Según un informe de la organización sin f

Iran is escalating the war by mining a key oil route. Here are the risks

Kraig Pakulski 0 17 Article rating: No rating

By Issy Ronald, CNN

(CNN) — Iran might be outgunned and outspent by the US and Israel but it has one major advantage – its control over the Strait of Hormuz.

By attacking ships navigating the narrow waterway, Iran has effectively shut the route, through which, one-fifth of the world’s oil supply passes. And now, Tehran has also reportedly mined the strait, further deterring ships from attempting passage and marking a new escalation in the war.

Here’s what you need to know:

What is Iran doing?

In recent days, Iran has begun laying a few dozen mines in the strait, according to two people familiar with US intelligence on the matter. The mining is not extensive, but Iran still maintains upward of 80% to 90% of its small boats and minelayers, one source told CNN, contradicting US President Donald Trump’s claim Tehran has “no navy.”

Such a move underlines Iran’s reliance on asymmetric warfare and the havoc these tactics could wreak even as the country is battered by US-Israeli airstrikes.

Iran has around 5,000 to 6,000 naval mines, a report from the US Congress estimated last year. That total consists of many different types of mines, the report says. Some are limpet mines, which are usually manually attached to a ship’s hull by a diver; some are moored mines, which float just below the surface and explode when they come into contact with a ship; and some are “bottom” mines, which rest on the sea floor before detonating when they detect a nearby vessel.

Mines are just one part of the threat posed by Iran in the strait.

Its Revolutionary Guards, a separate force to the country’s navy, is still capable of deploying a “gauntlet” of mines, explosive-laden suicide boats and shore-based missile batteries, causing one US source to describe the strait as “Death Valley.”

That was laid bare on Tuesday when the guards said they fired on the Thai-flagged bulk carrier “Mayuree Naree” as it tried to pass through, causing an explosion in the ship’s engine room. Three of the 23 crew members, who were believed to have been on duty in the engine room, remain unaccounted for, according to Thai authorities. Another Liberian-flagged vessel, named “Express Rome,” was also struck by Iranian projectiles the same morning, Iran’s armed forces added.

How has the US responded?

US Central Command said Tuesday it had destroyed multiple Iranian naval ships – including 16 minelayers – near the strait, though it did not mention destroying any mines, which may have already been laid.

That followed President Donald Trump saying on Truth Social, “if Iran has put out any mines in the Hormuz Strait, and we have no reports of them doing son, we want them removed, IMMEDIATELY!”

If Iran didn’t remove any mines it might have laid, the country would face consequences “at a level never before seen,” Trump added. However, if it removed “what may have been placed, it will be a giant step in the right direction!”

American minesweeping capabilities in the Persian Gulf are not as strong as they once were. The US Navy decommissioned the last of its four dedicated minesweeper in the region last September, leaving it dependent on less specialized ships.

At the time, US Naval Forces Central Command said four littoral combat ships

British PM was warned of ‘reputational risk’ over Mandelson’s ties to Epstein, files show

Kraig Pakulski 0 20 Article rating: No rating

By Christian Edwards, CNN

London (CNN) — British Prime Minister Keir Starmer was warned that Peter Mandelson’s relationship with Jeffrey Epstein posed a “general reputational risk” ahead of his appointment as Britain’s ambassador to the United States, according to a trove of files released Wednesday by the British government.

In a due diligence report provided to Starmer by his vetting team in December 2024, officials listed what was publicly known about the veteran Labour politician’s ties to the disgraced financier and convicted sex offender Epstein.

“After Epstein was first convicted of procuring an underage girl in 2008, their relationship continued across 2009-2011, beginning when Lord Mandelson was Business Minister and continuing after the end of the Labour government. Mandelson reportedly stayed in Epstein’s House while he was in jail in June 2009,” the report said.

Starmer has faced fierce questioning about his judgment in appointing Mandelson as ambassador last year. Although Mandelson’s ties to Epstein had for years been a matter of the public record, files released by the US Department of Justice provided evidence about the depth and extent of his relationship to the financier, which continued after Epstein’s 2008 conviction.

The prime minister fired Mandelson in September following an earlier DOJ release of Epstein files. Another tranche of files released in January sparked further public outrage, prompting Britain’s Labour government to agree to spell out what it knew about Mandelson’s ties to Epstein at the time of his appointment.

The vetting documents cited a 2019 report commissioned by JPMorgan, which cited Epstein’s personal records showing that his relationship with Mandelson began in 2002 and continued throughout the 2000s.

“To note – general reputational risk,” officials wrote in the report provided to Starmer.

The documents also showed that Jonathan Powell, Starmer’s national security adviser, believed that Mandelson’s appointment had been “unusual.” In a call with Starmer’s lawyer after Mandelson was fired as ambassador, Powell said he had raised concerns about Mandelson’s “reputation” to a key aide to the prime minister, and said he found the appointment process “weirdly rushed.”

Darren Jones, a senior cabinet minister, told lawmakers in Parliament Wednesday that the files revealed “that the due diligence process fell short of what is required.”

Another document in the files showed that Mandelson’s lawyers had requested that he be paid the remainder of his four-year contract, which would have amounted to £547,201 (about $730,000). In the end, he received £75,000 (about $100,000).

British police arrested Mandelson last month on suspicion of misconduct in public office after documents released by the DOJ showed that he appeared to leak sensitive British government data to Epstein. He was released after questioning but remains under investigation. Mandelson has denied any criminal wrongdoing and has previously said he feels “utterly awful” about his friendship with Epstein and “the plight of his victims.”

The-CNN-Wire
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