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Es posible que Trump no tenga una buena salida de la guerra con Irán

Kraig Pakulski 0 22 Article rating: No rating

Análisis por Aaron Blake, CNN

La guerra del presidente Donald Trump con Irán no ha sido precisamente un éxito rotundo hasta el momento. Y gran parte del público estadounidense no espera que el fin del conflicto, cuando sea que ocurra, cambie esa situación.

Las encuestas de las últimas semanas muestran a un público estadounidense harto del tema.

A la gente no le gustaba la guerra desde el principio, no creen que vaya a traer muchos resultados positivos y no parecen esperar concesiones significativas, o al menos, concesiones que valgan la pena.

En resumen, no hay mucha fe en que Trump tenga una buena salida de esta guerra.

El fin de semana del Día de los Caídos ofrece algunas claves para comprender esta perspectiva.

Durante ese periodo se observaron algunas de las señales más significativas hasta la fecha de progreso real en un acuerdo para poner fin a la guerra.

Sin embargo, a medida que se filtraban los detalles, quedó claro que eran completamente inaceptables para muchos republicanos más belicistas.

Algunos de estos republicanos incluso advirtieron que el acuerdo podría dejar a Irán más fuerte que antes de la guerra.

Y si Irán mantiene su postura intransigente, no está claro qué acuerdo podría permitirle a Trump salvar las apariencias y poner fin a la guerra antes de que se convierta en un problema aún mayor para el Partido Republicano.

Varias encuestas sugieren que la gente simplemente quiere que esto termine.

Una encuesta de Fox News realizada la semana pasada mostró que solo el 39 % de los votantes registrados deseaba que las operaciones militares estadounidenses duraran “el tiempo que sea necesario para lograr los objetivos de Estados Unidos”, en comparación con el 61 % que prefería un “plazo limitado”.

De manera similar, una encuesta del New York Times-Siena College mostró que el 52 % de los votantes registrados dijeron que Estados Unidos debería poner fin a las operaciones militares incluso si no puede llegar a un acuerdo con Irán sobre su programa nuclear.

Solo el 37 % se mostró a favor de reanudar las operaciones militares si los países no logran llegar a un acuerdo sobre el programa nuclear de Irán.

Esta última encuesta y otros datos refuerzan la idea de que los estadounidenses no son precisamente optimistas respecto a un acuerdo aceptable. Al contrario, parecen propensos a mirar con escepticismo todo lo que se produzca.

Según la encuesta del Times-Siena, solo el 22 % creía que la guerra sería “muy exitosa” para eliminar el programa nuclear de Irán, un programa que, cabe recalcar, la administración Trump ya afirmó que fue “aniquilado” el verano pasado.

(Otro 18 % pensaba que sería “algo exitoso”, mientras que el 50 % esperaba que fuera un fracaso).

Asimismo, el 65 % de los estadounidenses no estaban “muy seguros” o no estaban “en absoluto seguros” de que un acuerdo para poner fin a la guerra detendría a Irán en el desarrollo de armas nucleares (lo cual ha sido la línea roja reiterada de Trump), según una encuesta del Washington Post-ABC News.

Y casi dos tercios tenían solo una confianza “moderada”, o incluso menor, en que la administración lograría sus objetivos en Irán, según una Read more

Wind Advisory issued May 26 at 9:18PM PDT until May 27 at 6:00AM PDT by NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard CA

Kraig Pakulski 0 16 Article rating: No rating

* WHAT…Northwest winds 20 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph expected.
Local gusts to 50 mph near Gaviota and Refugio.

* WHERE…Santa Barbara County Southwestern Coast and Santa Ynez
Mountains Western Range.

* WHEN…Until 6 AM PDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS…Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree
limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

The post Wind Advisory issued May 26 at 9:18PM PDT until May 27 at 6:00AM PDT by NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard CA appeared first on News Channel 3-12.

In the lowest place on Earth, a sea is rapidly dying — and no one can agree how to save it

Kraig Pakulski 0 27 Article rating: No rating

By Laura Paddison, CNN

The Dead Sea (CNN) — The motorboat cut through the aquamarine water of the Dead Sea, past dazzling-white formations forged from salt crystals. Jake Ben Zaken, the boat captain, pointed to a patch of darker water nearby indicating a sinkhole beneath the seabed. These are both signs of an unfolding ecological disaster, he said.

The Dead Sea sits where Israeli, Jordanian and Palestinian land meet and is a place of extremes. It’s the lowest point on the planet, around 1,400 feet below sea level. It’s also one of the world’s saltiest water bodies, nearly 10 times saltier than the ocean, which makes the water so dense people can float effortlessly on its surface.

But this unique body of water is dying. Every year it recedes around 4 feet, as the impacts of human activities and climate change take a heavy toll. Over the past five decades, its surface area has shrunk by roughly a third. As the water retreats, it’s forging a new landscape of sinkholes and salt-encrusted shorelines that is both strikingly beautiful and a haunting reminder that the Dead Sea’s future hangs in the balance.

Ben Zaken, who runs the company Salty Landscapes from Mitzpe Shalem, a settlement in the West Bank, has been taking people out onto the Dead Sea for more than 12 years. It’s given him a front row seat to the alarming changes.

His boat tours used to start from Mineral Beach, just to the south of Mitzpe Shalem, but he was forced to move when sinkholes closed it in 2015. His current location is safe for now, but the landscape is shifting fast. “Every year we get about seven and a half meters of new shoreline,” Ben Zaken said.

There are multiple plans to save the Dead Sea, but the years tick by and little happens as costs, fraught regional politics and a lack of political urgency stymie action, experts told CNN. Unless something is done, the world risks losing a unique ecosystem, they warned.

“It is a treasure,” said Peleg Gottdiener of EcoPeace Middle East, an organization of Israeli, Jordanian, and Palestinian environmentalists. “There’s nothing like the Dead Sea.”

The Dead Sea’s demise is human-caused.

This landlocked swath of salty water is technically a lake. Water enters from the Jordan River, which starts on the Syria-Lebanon border, flows through the Sea of Galilee in northern Israel, then continues its journey south toward the Dead Sea, with Jordan on one side and Israel and the occupied West Bank on the other.

Over the decades, the Jordan River, and its main tributary the Yarmouk, have shrunk as they’ve been dammed and diverted by Israel, Syria and Jordan to quench the thirst of people, crops and livestock. The river used to transport 1.3 billion cubic meters of water to the Dead Sea; that has fallen to roughly 100 million cubic meters.

The mineral extraction industry is the other major driver of decline.

In the late 1970s, the Dead Sea split into two basins, now separated by a strip of dry land. The deeper northern basin, where Ben Zaken operates his boat tours, is the natural remnant of the sea. The southern basin is artificially maintained, made up of a series of industrial evaporation pools.

Companies on the Israeli and Jordanian sides — the Dead Sea Works and the Arab Potash Company — pump water from the northern basin into the pools. The water evaporates in the sun leaving behind a mineral-rich brine, from which companies extract minerals including potash and magnesium for fertilizers and other industrial uses.

There’s another force at work too: climate change. Droughts are becoming fiercer and more prolonged, and rainfall is rarer. Even without river diversions and industry, there’s evidence climate change impacts would cause the Dead Sea to shrink, albeit far more slowly, said Yael Kiro, a geochemist at the Weizman

Candlelight Vigil held for rape survivor in Isla Vista

Kraig Pakulski 0 18 Article rating: No rating

ISLA VISTA, Calif. (KEYT) A vigil took place in honor of a rape survivor.

The candlelight vigil happened on Tuesday evening at Greek Park in Isla Vista.

Organizers hope to call attention to the unsolved rape and strangulation of an 18-year-old UCSB freshman at the Tropicana Gardens on May 9.

The student housing complex is on El Colegio Road.

The survivor's family has hired an attorney to help solve the case.

Anyone with information is urged to break their silence and contact university police at 805-893-3446.

Anonymous tips are welcome at 805-893-7274 or https://police.ucsb.edu

The post Candlelight Vigil held for rape survivor in Isla Vista appeared first on News Channel 3-12.

Trump completes his month of GOP revenge, and other takeaways from the Texas runoffs

Kraig Pakulski 0 10 Article rating: No rating

By Eric Bradner, CNN

(CNN) — President Donald Trump finished his monthlong revenge tour in Texas on Tuesday night.

The president’s national approval ratings may be near their weakest overall. But a series of red-state primaries in May have shown that conservative voters remain fiercely supportive of Trump – and willing to turn against those he deems disloyal.

After toppling incumbents in Indiana, Kentucky and Louisiana, Trump got what he wanted in Texas when Ken Paxton, the controversial state attorney general, defeated four-term incumbent Sen. John Cornyn.

Now, Republicans face the prospect of ponying up to defend a red-state seat in a race against Democratic state Rep. James Talarico that could become the most expensive contest in history.

Republican senators and top operatives believed Cornyn was a shoo-in for reelection if he could survive the primary and that Paxton was a weaker general election candidate. But Trump decided to ignore months of Senate leadership’s lobbying for the president to back Cornyn or stay out of the runoff by issuing a late endorsement of Paxton. Trump’s move effectively sealed Cornyn’s political fate.

In his victory speech, Paxton called Trump’s endorsement “the most powerful force in politics.”

Here are takeaways from the Texas primary runoff:

Speed bumps ahead

Trump has ousted Indiana state Senate Republican incumbents who refused to support his push for redistricting, toppled a frequent critic in Kentucky Rep. Thomas Massie and unseated Louisiana Sen. Bill Cassidy, who voted to convict Trump after his second impeachment following the January 6, 2021, attack on the US Capitol.

Cornyn voted to acquit Trump then but was slow to endorse him in his third bid for the White House. He said in 2023 that Trump had “a unique ability to rally his base, but not to grow beyond his base, which is a problem.”

Still, while Trump’s endorsement is potent in Republican primaries, he also has a long history of supporting candidates who alienated the broader electorate and lost winnable general elections.

Republicans will seek to prevent Paxton from joining a list of doomed Trump-backed candidates that includes Herschel Walker in Georgia, Kari Lake and Blake Masters in Arizona, and Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania.

Trump, meanwhile, will also face seven more months of Republican majorities on Capitol Hill where lawmakers like Massie, Cassidy and Cornyn are now untethered from the political demands of reelection.

The fractures are already showing up in Washington. Last week, the Senate broke with Trump over his request to fund a White House ballroom and create an “anti-weaponization fund” to compensate those Trump’s administration thinks to have been politically prosecuted.

Talarico takes center stage

While Paxton and Cornyn battled, the Democratic nominee, Talarico, was Read more

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