How much shooting does it take to end a ‘ceasefire’?

Kraig Pakulski 0 50 Article rating: No rating

By Harmeet Kaur, CNN

(CNN) — Last week, President Donald Trump declared that the “ceasefire” with Iran was “OVER,” as US forces carried out consecutive nights of strikes against Iran.

Trump had originally announced the ceasefire in early April, just hours after threatening that “a whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again.” After announcing it would last for two weeks, he went on to extend it. But in the weeks that followed, and even after the US and Iran signed a “memorandum of understanding” that kicked off a 60-day period of negotiations to end the war, the firing did not cease. As the US and Iran continued to exchange back-and-forth attacks, Trump insisted the ceasefire remained in effect — until he decided last week that whatever thread was holding the ceasefire together had finally snapped.

This much is clear: A “ceasefire,” at least lately, doesn’t necessarily constitute a ceasing of fire. Fighting between Israel and Iran’s ally Hezbollah continued in Lebanon despite US-brokered ceasefires between the Israeli and Lebanese governments, with the Norwegian Refugee Council reporting that nearly 600 people were killed in Lebanon in the weeks following the April ceasefire. And since Trump’s Gaza ceasefire plan, endorsed by the United Nations Security Council, went into effect in October, Israel has continued to attack the territory almost daily, saying it is targeting Hamas: A tally by the Government Media Office in Gaza indicates that Israel has violated the ceasefire at least 3,689 times.

What, then, is a “ceasefire”? Though the concept is as old as war itself, the term was first recorded in the mid-19th century, appearing in a Scottish newspaper as a two-word military command to cease active hostilities. During the 20th century, it evolved into a one-word noun denoting a temporary suspension of hostilities — a condition of neither peace nor outright war.

When used by political leaders, as well as journalists reporting on their remarks, the word “ceasefire” suggests that the violence in a conflict has stopped, says Rachel Nelson, an analyst at the Middle East Policy Council. But she says that often doesn’t reflect what the combatants are still doing. “Really the question is whether these parties are actually honoring what they agreed to,” she adds.

Despite how straightforward it sounds, a “ceasefire” can encompass a range of conditions. The United Nations notes that there is no single, universally accepted definition of the term, leaving parties in armed conflicts to determine what it entails for their particular situations. The Palgrave Macmillan Dictionary of Diplomacy indicates that a ceasefire can be confined to a particular area where fighting has erupted or it can cover the entirety of the conflict region, though it notes that “it is usually implicit in such agreements that the cessation of firing is accompanied by no forward movement of positions or armament.”

This month also marks the 73rd anniversary of the Korean Armistice Agreement, which established a ceasefire between the militaries of the two Koreas and their respective allies until a final peace agreement between North and South Korea could be achieved. Nearly three-quarters of a century later, the ceasefire remains in place — even as both sides have exchanged cross-border gunfire over the years, and as a formal peace treaty remains elusiv

Trump regulator orders Kalshi to defy Michigan court – escalating battle over prediction markets

Kraig Pakulski 0 44 Article rating: No rating
An ad for the prediction market app Kalshi is displayed on a mobile phone

By Marshall Cohen, CNN

(CNN) — The Trump administration took an extraordinary step this week to escalate its nationwide efforts to prevent states from regulating prediction markets, where users can trade on real-world events like sports, politics and pop culture.

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the federal agency that regulates prediction markets, directed Kalshi not to cancel pending sports trades in Michigan, in defiance of a court order from a state judge.

The rare CFTC order cited emergency powers that haven’t been invoked since President Jimmy Carter’s grain embargo against the Soviet Union during the Cold War.

Kalshi said it had already complied with the judge’s order, and the volume of unwound trades was relatively small – which means the legal standoff might be moot for now. But this maneuver was the CFTC’s most aggressive and surprising step yet in its efforts to stop states from reigning in prediction markets.

“This hasn’t happened in 46 years,” said Robert Schwartz, the agency’s former general counsel, of the CFTC using its emergency authorities. “And it’s an assertion of federal power in financial markets like we haven’t seen so far, by countermanding a court order.”

With the backing of President Donald Trump, the CFTC has embraced prediction markets, which have exploded in popularity this year. The CFTC’s move comes after it filed lawsuits against states that tried to regulate the companies, and withdrew Biden-era proposals to ban some types of trades.

Trump and his family have financial ties to the prediction market industry. And he has reshaped the CFTC by leaving his sole appointee, Michael Selig, at the helm of the five-member commission.

While Selig has largely been in lockstep with the industry, the unorthodox intervention in Michigan created some rare daylight between the two sides. It caught many in the industry off guard, rattled seasoned traders by creating uncertainty about pending trades and drew condemnation from Kalshi.

Kalshi’s head of enforcement, Bobby DeNault, said: “We are disappointed by this decision and believe it is unfair to Kalshi,” in an X post Tuesday night.

“We are being put in an impossible position, looking to follow state court orders that may contradict our federal regulatory obligations,” DeNault wrote.

A source familiar with the CFTC’s decision-making told CNN this was done to stop what it sees as a bad precedent from influencing ongoing lawsuits in other states. The source said, “this isn’t about Kalshi and it certainly wasn’t to help them,” adding that, “it makes their life harder, in this case.”

Separately, CNN reported Thursday that the CFTC is investigating a White House teleprompter operator for potential insider trading on markets about Trump’s speeches. The White House said the employee, Gabriel Perez, is cooperating with the CFTC and was placed on unpaid administrative leave.

CNN has a partnership with Kalshi and uses its data to cover major events. But CNN editorial

Muere la ganadora del Oscar Brenda Fricker, la “dama de las palomas” de “Home Alone”

Kraig Pakulski 0 44 Article rating: No rating

Por Lianne Kolirin, CNN

Brenda Fricker, actriz irlandesa ganadora del Oscar, falleció a los 81 años, según confirmó su agente este viernes.

Fricker fue la primera mujer irlandesa en ganar un premio de la Academia, galardón que obtuvo en 1990 como mejor actriz de reparto por su papel en “My Left Foot”. En esta película biográfica dirigida por Jim Sheridan, interpretó a la señora Brown, madre del protagonista, Christy Brown, un hombre con parálisis cerebral. Daniel Day-Lewis, quien encarnó a Brown, también ganó un Oscar por su actuación.

El fallecimiento de la actriz, ocurrido el jueves, fue anunciado por su agente, Phil Belfield. En un comunicado enviado a CNN, declaró: “Con gran tristeza comparto la noticia de que la querida actriz Brenda Fricker falleció pacíficamente anoche en Dublín, a los 81 años, tras un periodo de problemas de salud”.

Tras describirla como una “leyenda”, Belfield añadió: “Nunca volveremos a ver a alguien como ella; el mundo es un lugar más pobre sin su presencia. Tuve el honor de conocerla, quererla y trabajar con ella, y siempre ocupará un lugar en mi corazón y en el de tantos aficionados al cine y la televisión de todo el mundo”.

La carrera interpretativa de Fricker abarcó más de 30 papeles en cine y televisión, incluida su famosa aparición como la mujer sin hogar conocida como la “señora de las palomas” que entabla amistad con Macaulay Culkin en “Home Alone 2”.

Nacida y criada en Dublín, Fricker publicó el año pasado unas memorias tituladas “She Died Young: A Life in Fragments”. Según la editorial del libro, Bloomsbury, la obra abordaba sus primeros años en Irlanda, pero también la “dificultad de sobrevivir a la violencia sexual y de vivir con una enfermedad mental”.

El año pasado, ya aquejada de problemas de salud, Fricker concedió una entrevista al diario The Guardian desde su cama en Dublín, en la que declaró: “Estoy teniendo una muerte espantosa… Simplemente me estoy muriendo, sufriendo dolor cada día”.

Comentó al entrevistador que escribir el libro había sido “un calvario” para ella, al relatar una infancia difícil marcada por abusos sexuales a manos de un profesor de dicción y por haber sobrevivido a dos violaciones.

“Resultaba irónico, porque estaba hablando de cosas que había pagado una fortuna a psiquiatras para que me ayudaran a olvidar”, declaró a The Guardian. “Así que fue muy doloroso traerlos de vuelta. Me parecían un poco morbosos. Creo que yo misma soy un poco morbosa. Soy irlandesa”.

Entre sus numerosos papeles cinematográficos, actuó junto a Olympia Dukakis en la película de 2011 “Cloudburst” y con Cate Blanchett en “Veronica Guerin” en 2003. Su último papel fue en “The Swallow” (2024). Según su agente, esta obra mostraba “la verdad y la majestuosidad de Brenda como actriz” y era “una maravilla”.

En una entrevista concedida al periódico británico The Times en 2024, Fricker restó importancia a su logro en los Oscar. “No aprendí tanto en ‘My Left Foot’”, comentó. “Aprendí mucho durante mi etapa en la BBC, cuando hacíamos obras de teatro. El nivel de las producciones de entonces era muy superior”.

Contó al entrevistador que, tras pasar seis años en la serie dramática médica de la BBC “Casualty”, recibió una oferta de trabajo de la Royal Shakespeare Company, “que era exactamente adonde quería ir”. Sin embargo, fue seleccionada para el papel ganador del Óscar que acabaría definiendo su carrera.

“Te dejan de lado de esa manera y te encasillan”, señaló. “Así que hay muchas cosas que no son tan buenas de ganar un Oscar. Y no recibes dinero. Podrían darte algo de efectivo con el premio, al menos”. Al conocerse la noticia del fallecimiento de Fricker, Edward Walsh, embajador de Estados Unidos en Irlanda, tuiteó: “Es triste enterarse de la muerte de Brenda Fricker, una gigante del cine irlandés y la primera actriz de Irlanda en ganar un premio de la Academia por su inolvidabl

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