Why Trump put his ‘bad cop’ in charge of rescuing the GOP in the midterms

Kraig Pakulski 0 15 Article rating: No rating

By Steve Contorno, Kristen Holmes, CNN

(CNN) — James Blair has six months to defend Republican power in Congress — but first he needed to send a message to his party.

Blair, the White House deputy chief of staff, spent weeks plotting to crush a group of Republican lawmakers in Indiana who defied the president’s demands for a more favorable congressional map. He personally helped recruit and vet their primary opponents while designing a strategy intended to end their political careers.

The night five of those Republican holdouts fell this month, a triumphant Blair thumped his chest on X with a gif of Russell Crowe in “Gladiator”: “Are you not entertained?”

“Sometimes you can vote your conscience, other times you have to vote with the boss,” Blair told CNN the day after the Indiana primaries, referring to President Donald Trump. “And he gets to decide when that is, because he’s elected party leader. My job is to implement that.”

Called “the Oracle” by colleagues and “ruthless” even by friends, 36-year-old Blair has become one of the most powerful and feared operators in Republican politics. Within the White House, he’s seen as a potential successor to chief of staff Susie Wiles if she ever stepped down. On Capitol Hill, he has kept the party’s fragile majorities in line. Across the country, he has put recalcitrant Republicans on notice, no target too small. The bruising mid-decade redistricting battle that’s reshaping the midterm map? That’s Blair’s brainchild.

Now, this millennial operative will embark on perhaps his most difficult assignment. In the coming weeks, he is expected to step away from his White House role to lead the GOP’s efforts to defend its congressional majorities — a challenging task further complicated by Trump’s sagging approval ratings, an unpopular war, persistent economic anxiety and early signs of fracture in the coalition that carried the president to victory in 2024.

A plan is taking shape. The most intense focus will fall on roughly 30 to 35 House races, according to people steeped in the data. Trump’s advisers privately acknowledge that some of the sporadic voters they activated two years ago to carry the president into the White House may not return, so they are running a large, sophisticated data operation to find new ones.

Fear, Blair said, will be a primary motivator. The pitch: Do you really want Democrats back in power?

The confidence stems in part from polling that shows Democrats are largely unpopular, too, as well as faith in a political operation that Trump advisers insist is more advanced than it was in 2018 and far superior to that of the Democratic Party.

Blair will have a massive war chest at his disposal — nearly $400 million between Trump-aligned super PACs — a financial advantage the GOP didn’t have during the president’s first term. Blair declined to say how much is earmarked for the fall, but insisted Republicans would have the necessary resources. He will oversee the coordination of spending across GOP groups, ensuring alignment that has historically been elusive.

Concerns within the GOP are mounting. Voices ranging from MAGA-aligned pollster Richard Baris to billionaire GOP megadonor Ken Griffin are bracing for widespread losses this November. N

High Wind Warning issued May 17 at 2:36AM PDT until May 17 at 9:00AM PDT by NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard CA

Kraig Pakulski 0 13 Article rating: No rating

* WHAT…Northwest winds 30 to 50 mph with gusts up to 60 mph
expected. Strongest during the overnight hours.

* WHERE…Interstate 5 Corridor, Northern Ventura County Mountains,
and Southern Ventura County Mountains.

* WHEN…Until 9 AM PDT this morning.

* IMPACTS…Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines.
Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult,
especially for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS…Wind speeds may drop well below warning
levels at times during the daytime hours.
Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and
avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution
if you must drive.

The post High Wind Warning issued May 17 at 2:36AM PDT until May 17 at 9:00AM PDT by NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard CA appeared first on News Channel 3-12.

High Wind Warning issued May 17 at 2:36AM PDT until May 17 at 9:00AM PDT by NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard CA

Kraig Pakulski 0 12 Article rating: No rating

* WHAT…Northwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph
expected. Strongest during the overnight hours.

* WHERE…Santa Barbara County Interior Mountains, Santa Barbara
County Southwestern Coast, Santa Ynez Mountains Eastern Range, and
Santa Ynez Mountains Western Range.

* WHEN…Until 9 AM PDT this morning.

* IMPACTS…Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines.
Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult,
especially for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS…Wind speeds may drop well below warning
levels at times during the daytime hours.
Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and
avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution
if you must drive.

The post High Wind Warning issued May 17 at 2:36AM PDT until May 17 at 9:00AM PDT by NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard CA appeared first on News Channel 3-12.

A measles outbreak crossed into Mexico from Texas. A larger tragedy followed

Kraig Pakulski 0 16 Article rating: No rating

By Mary Beth Sheridan, CNN

Cuauhtemoc, Mexico (CNN) — It all started when a 9-year-old boy went with his parents to visit relatives in Seminole, Texas, early last year. After he returned home to Mexico, a red rash erupted on his skin. Within weeks, so many of his classmates fell ill that their school shut down.

Unbeknownst to the boy’s parents, measles had started to ricochet around Seminole during their visit.

The town would soon emerge as the epicenter of the biggest US outbreak in more than 30 years, one that would kill three Americans. But when the virus jumped the border to Mexico, a bigger tragedy was about to begin.

At least 40 Mexicans have died of measles complications since the start of 2025, ranging from babies to middle-age farmworkers, according to the Mexican Health Ministry. More than 17,000 infections have been confirmed in that period, four times the number in the United States. Measles is largely preventable with two shots of a common vaccine. But most of those with infections hadn’t gotten it.

Mexico’s ongoing measles outbreak offers a case study of what can happen when a country’s vaccine coverage slips. The disease was first identified in the 9-year-old’s neighborhood, in a secluded Mennonite community of apple, wheat and corn farms in Chihuahua state, south of Texas, authorities said. It spread to agricultural laborers, many of them from Indigenous communities.

By the end of 2025, this Mexican state, roughly the size of Michigan, had confirmed around 4,500 cases – more than in the entire United States.

Pinning down the movement of a microscopic pathogen can be difficult. But Mexican authorities believe that the measles virus probably arrived in the throat or lungs of the third-grader, who was unvaccinated, and then spread wildly.

From Canada to Mexico to Chihuahua

In Chihuahua, officials did genetic tests on more than 100 cases. Each came back with the stamp of the measles virus that popped up in Canada in 2024 and later appeared in Texas: genotype D8 and lineage MVs/Ontario.CAN/47.24. The virus has since traveled through Mexico’s 32 states.

“Everything comes from the outbreak in Chihuahua,” said Dr. Miguel Nakamura, director of epidemiological information at Mexico’s Health Ministry.

In the United States, a series of measles outbreaks starting in Seminole raised concerns about the growing role of vaccine skeptics in the government.

Mexico’s case is somewhat different. The president, Claudia Sheinbaum, is a leftist with a PhD in engineering who prides herself on her scientific background. What unites the neighboring nations’ outbreaks is something else, epidemiologists say: complacency.

Measles was declared eliminated in both countries more than a quarter-century ago – a historic public-health achievement. But Mexico’s once-robust vaccine program has atrophied amid disarray in its government-dominated health system, say epidemiologists.

“This is the paradox,” said Samuel Ponce de León, an epidemiology professor at the National Autonomous University of Mexico. Thanks to the success of vaccines, “you don’t see kids with signs of polio or complications from measles, like deafness or meningitis. We stopped having measles cases, so people began to say, ‘Why should I worry?’”

More contagious than Covid-19

Measles is one of the most contagious diseases in the world, far more so than Covid-19. It’s spread by an infected person coughing, sneezing or even just talking. The virus ca

Is it a problem if the Fed speaks too much?

Kraig Pakulski 0 17 Article rating: No rating

By Bryan Mena, CNN

Washington (CNN) — The Federal Reserve is yapping too much about the economy, according to Kevin Warsh, the US central bank’s incoming leader.

During his confirmation hearing last month, Warsh argued that Fed officials “speak quite frequently” and stressed that “truth-seeking is more important than repetition.”

“If one has a press conference, one wants to deliver some important news,” he said.

Since the 1990s, Fed officials have regularly weighed in on the economy, including media interviews and press conferences, public speeches, lengthy policy statements and periodic economic forecasts.

Warsh, who is slated to officially begin his four-year term on Monday, suggested doing away with some of that communication with “a new framework” and “new tools,” though he didn’t go into specifics.

Experts say Warsh isn’t completely off; times of uncertainty make it difficult for Fed officials to predict where the economy and interest rates may be headed. But it would be a major shift for the Fed if Warsh decides to cut back on news conferences or do away with officials’ quarterly economic projections.

“Communication isn’t trivial,” Loretta Mester, who served as president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland from 2014 to 2024, told CNN. “You’re talking to market participants, you’re talking to the public, you’re talking to Congress, but there may be some enhancements to make communication more effective.”

The Fed remained mostly silent until the ’90s

For most of its 113-year history, the Fed’s interest-rate decisions were somewhat of a mystery. There were no policy statements, routine public comments or news conferences by the chair.

Traders had to infer what the Fed was doing with its benchmark lending rate based on market movements.

That changed under Fed Chair Alan Greenspan, who introduced the post-meeting policy statement in 1994.

Subsequent chairs kept adding to the Fed’s communication artillery. Ben Bernanke was the first Fed chair to hold a formal news conference in April 2011.

“I have always been a big believer in providing as much information as you can to help the public understand what you’re doing,” he said then, “to help the markets understand what you’re doing, and to be accountable to the public for what you’re doing.”

The post-meeting press conferences help guide Wall Street’s expectations and shape interest rates in the long term. A Brookings Institution survey released this month found that economists and analysts want the Fed to continue press conferences after each rate-setting meeting.

“The Fed sending signals on what it’s likely to do in the future is very useful because it quickly affects financial conditions,” said Derek Tang, an economist at Monetary Policy Analytics.

“For example, in 2022 officials used their projections and speeches to signal that they were serious about hiking rates to get rid of high inflation, which allowed them to not hike even higher because their communication already did some of the lifting,” he added.

Uncertainty can muddy Fed communication

But sometimes no one knows what may be in store for the US economy.

Times of unusually high uncertainty inherently make Fed communication less helpful because circumstances can change on a dime, Mester, the former Cleveland Fed president, said.

When President Donald Trump unveiled stiff tariffs last spring, Fed officials, including Chair Jerome Powell, warned of the possibility of significantly higher inflation and weaker economic growth. But those initial comments didn’t age well when Trump toned down his tariffs and businesses helped keep consumer inflation from surging.

And this year, the US-Israeli war with Iran further c

RSS
First886887888889891893894895Last