Por Mary Gilbert, CNN

La primavera está en pleno apogeo, pero algunos meteorólogos ya se están adelantando unos meses a la temporada de huracanes.

La temporada de huracanes en el Atlántico abarca de junio a noviembre, y debido al creciente fenómeno de El Niño, la de este año podría diferir de las temporadas activas de gran parte de la última década, según un nuevo pronóstico de investigadores de la Universidad Estatal de Colorado (CSU).

Ellos pronostican una temporada ligeramente por debajo del promedio, con 13 tormentas con nombre (entre tormentas tropicales y huracanes). Se espera que seis de ellas se conviertan en huracanes y dos se intensifiquen hasta alcanzar la categoría 3 o superior.

Solo una temporada de huracanes en el Atlántico desde 2016 terminó con un número de tormentas inferior al promedio: la de 2025. El año pasado se registraron 13 tormentas con nombre, incluyendo cinco huracanes, entre los que destaca Melissa, de categoría 5, que devastó Jamaica. El pronóstico inicial de la CSU de 17 tormentas resultó excesivo, al igual que el pronóstico oficial de la Administración Nacional Oceánica y Atmosférica (NOAA).

Los expertos de la CSU predijeron una temporada ligeramente inferior al promedio en su pronóstico inicial de 2023. Sin embargo, la actividad tropical de ese año, impulsada por las temperaturas récord de los océanos, terminó siendo superior a lo normal, desafiando casi todos los pronósticos iniciales.

Predecir el futuro con tanta antelación tiene sus riesgos, especialmente en un mundo que se calienta debido a la contaminación por combustibles fósiles, pero la CSU no recurre a una bola mágica.

Consultan modelos de pronóstico que han estado perfeccionando durante años y que han demostrado ser más precisos que los promedios estacionales por sí solos.

También existen otras señales significativas, como el inminente regreso de El Niño, que han dado a los meteorólogos una mayor confianza de lo normal en que habrá menos actividad tropical en general, según Phil Klotzbach, científico investigador sénior y autor principal del pronóstico de la CSU.

El pronóstico de la Universidad Estatal de Colorado señala a El Niño como el factor dominante para la próxima temporada de huracanes.

La Niña, que ha estado presente desde que terminó el otoño este mes, dio paso a las llamadas condiciones neutrales. Se espera que El Niño se intensifique a finales de la primavera y comience oficialmente a mediados del verano, según el último pronóstico de la NOAA. Esto significa que El Niño estará presente durante el pico de la temporada de huracanes, que abarca desde mediados de agosto hasta mediados de octubre.

Como recordatorio: El Niño es un patrón climático natural caracterizado por temperaturas del agua superiores al promedio en el Pacífico ecuatorial, lo que también provoca cambios en los patrones de la atmósfera superior. En conjunto, estos factores influyen en el clima a nivel mundial.

Los meteorólogos monitorean de cerca a El Niño y a su contraparte más fría, La Niña, porque afectan el clima de una manera bastante consistente y predecible con mucha anticipación, especialmente cuando los patrones son intensos.

Las condiciones de El Niño generalmente provocan un aumento en la cizalladura del viento (un cambio en la velocidad o dirección del viento con la altura) en la atmósfera superior sobre partes de la cuenca del Atlántico. Una fuerte cizalladura del viento puede debilitar las tormentas al dispersar su rotación o impedir su formación.

Aun así, las condiciones de El Niño no garantizan una temporada de huracanes más tranquila. Si bien se presentaron durante el pico de la temporada de 2023, las temperaturas oceánicas extremadamente cálidas actuaron como un combustible para cohetes, permitiendo que los sistemas se desarrollaran y prosperaran a pesar del aumento de la cizalladura del viento.

El momento

The post Significant Decrease in Arrests, Citations, and Medical Calls for Deltopia 2026 appeared first on edhat.

Por Dana Karni y Mohammed Tawfeeq, CNN

El primer ministro de Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu, ha dado instrucciones a su gabinete para que inicie “negociaciones directas” con el Líbano “lo antes posible”, y ha dicho que las conversaciones se centrarán en el desarme de Hezbollah y en el establecimiento de relaciones pacíficas entre los dos países.

“Ante las reiteradas peticiones del Líbano para que se inicien negociaciones directas con Israel, ayer di instrucciones al gabinete para que comenzara las negociaciones directas con el Líbano lo antes posible”, dijo Netanyahu en un comunicado.

Netanyahu afirmó que las negociaciones se centrarían en “el desarme de Hezbollah y el establecimiento de relaciones pacíficas entre Israel y el Líbano”. Añadió que Israel “acoge con satisfacción el llamado del primer ministro del Líbano para desmilitarizar Beirut”.

El Líbano no ha respondido públicamente de inmediato a la declaración de Netanyahu.

The-CNN-Wire
™ & © 2026 Cable News Network, Inc., a Warner Bros. Discovery Company. All rights reserved.

The post Netanyahu dice que Israel iniciará conversaciones directas con el Líbano centradas en el desarme de Hezbollah appeared first on News Channel 3-12.

By Nadeen Ebrahim, Sarah Tamimi, CNN

(CNN) — On the first day of the US-Iran ceasefire on Wednesday, Israel conducted its biggest wave of strikes on Lebanon since the war began, killing at least 182 people, a move that threatens to derail an already fragile truce.

Iran said the ceasefire included Lebanon, a position echoed by Pakistan, which helped mediate the deal. Both Israel and the United States said it did not.

US and Iranian delegations are set to begin negotiations in Islamabad this weekend, with the question of whether Lebanon is covered by the ceasefire emerging as a potential wildcard.

“The Lebanese front may ultimately undermine efforts to sustain the ceasefire,” said Danny Citrinowicz, senior researcher in the Iran and the Shi’ite Axis Program at the Institute for National Security Studies (INSSS) in Tel Aviv. From Tehran’s perspective, Israel’s continued attacks on Lebanon “may justify a renewed response against Israel,” he added.

Here’s what to know.

Why is Israel striking Lebanon?

Hezbollah, an Iran-backed Shiite Islamist movement with one of the most powerful paramilitary forces in the Middle East, has engaged in decades of conflict with Israel from its base in neighboring Lebanon.

Israel launched a full-scale war on Hezbollah after the group fired at Israeli-held territory in support of Hamas following that group’s October 7, 2023 attack on Israel.

In November 2024, Israel approved a ceasefire deal that required it to withdraw from Lebanon. But the Israeli forces continued to hold positions beyond the deadline and carried out near daily strikes, citing Hezbollah violations.

After Israel killed Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in an airstrike in late February, Hezbollah began firing at Israel.

The Israeli military retaliated by launching an intense wave of airstrikes on what it said were Hezbollah positions and sent troops deeper into Lebanese territory, seeking to establish a buffer zone in the south of the country.

More than 1 million people have been displaced in Lebanon since the start of the latest conflict. As of Tuesday, at least 1,530 people had been killed and 4,812 wounded, according to the health ministry.

Defense Minister Israel Katz has said the Israeli military intends to destroy villages in southern Lebanon and has barred the 600,000 Lebanese who fled from returning to their homes “until the safety and security of northern Israeli residents is ensured.”

The destruction will be “in accordance with the Rafah and Khan Younis model in Gaza,” Katz said, referring to two Palestinian cities that Israel bombed heavily during the war in Gaza.

Far-right Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich last month suggested annexing southern Lebanon.

“The current campaign in Lebanon must end with a fundamental change: the Litani must become our new border with the State of Lebanon,” he said, referencing the river that separates southern Lebanon from the rest of the country.

Human rights experts have warned that open-ended mass evacuation orders and the new security borders mandated by Israel amount to a “possible war crime.”

Is Lebanon part of the ceasefire deal with Iran?

Over the past 48 hours, officials involved in negotiations gave conflicting statements about whether Lebanon is included in the ceasefire.

Unlike most ceasefire agreements, there are no publicly available documents underpinning this one. Much of what is known about the deal came from social media posts by Tr

By Samantha Delouya, John Towfighi, CNN

New York (CNN) — The war with Iran has roiled Wall Street, driving up the cost of a mortgage along with auto and credit card loans, making everyday life more expensive for Americans.

Mortgage rates climbed for five straight weeks after the war began, but ticked down this week to 6.37% for the average 30-year fixed mortgage, according to Freddie Mac.

Just weeks ago, borrowing was far cheaper. In late February, just two days before the United States and Israel began joint strikes on Iran, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate fell to 5.98%, dipping below 6% for the first time in more than three years.

Mortgage rates tend to track the 10-year US Treasury yield, which has climbed across the past month as investors have reckoned with the surge in oil prices, nerves about inflation, and the potential for increased government spending to fund the war. Yields rise when bond prices fall.

The 10-year US Treasury yield rose from below 4% at the end of February to as high as 4.48% in March, before trading around 4.3% this week. That yield is one of the most significant interest rates for the economy, strongly influencing mortgage rates and a range of other borrowing costs for everyday Americans, as well as businesses and the US government.

“Investors are now coming to grips with the likelihood of a prolonged war with Iran and what that would mean for the economy,” said Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial. “The longer global oil supply is crimped, the more likely inflation pressures will increase.”

Here’s how the war is making Americans pay more for credit:

Mortgage rates

Even with this week’s drop in mortgage rates, a typical homebuyer who locked in a rate just a few weeks ago would save tens of thousands of dollars over the life of a loan compared with someone taking out a mortgage today.

Take a $500,000 home. Assuming a 20% downpayment, a buyer who locked in a 30-year fixed mortgage in February, when the average mortgage rate was 5.98%, would be paying about $28,700 per year in principal and interest. At this week’s average mortgage rate of 6.37%, the yearly payment on that same loan would be $29,931. While that may not seem like much, the difference in yearly payments adds up: Over the life of the 30-year loan, today’s homebuyer would pay more than $36,000 than a buyer in February.

“Borrowers are not going to like that,” said Larry White, professor of economics at NYU Stern. “That adds a non-trivial amount to their monthly mortgage payment.”

But despite the rise in rates over the past few weeks, mortgage rates are still lower than at this time last year, when the 30-year average fixed mortgage rate was 6.62%.

Auto loans

Rising Treasury yields could impact other borrowing rates, like auto loans, since the interest rate on a five-year auto loan tends to track short-term bond yields.

Five-year and two-year Treasury yields soared in March and are hovering at their highest levels since August.

Average rates on five-year auto loans have barely budged during the war, according to Bankrate data, but higher-for-longer bond yields could keep auto rates elevated after they had climbed higher in recent years.

“We’re probably looking at a plateau,” said Stephen Kates, financial analyst at Bankrate.

“The biggest question for borrowing rates, and this is true of mortgages, which obviously have gone up substantially, is the duration of this conflict,” Kates said. “How long this goes on and the uncertainty it brings is going to have more of an impact on borrowing rates than anything.”

The average five-year auto loan rate hovers aro