Análisis por Zahra Ullah, CNN

Rusia ha expresado su preocupación y condena tras el reciente estallido del conflicto que involucra a Irán, uno de sus aliados clave, pero hasta el momento se ha mantenido prácticamente al margen.

El Kremlin declaró el lunes que está en “contacto constante” con los líderes iraníes, aunque Moscú no aclaró a quiénes se refiere tras la muerte del líder supremo de Teherán en los ataques aéreos.

El portavoz del Kremlin, Dmitri Peskov, declaró a la prensa que “son días difíciles”, refiriéndose a la guerra de Estados Unidos e Israel contra Irán, y añadió que Moscú también mantiene contactos con los líderes de los países afectados por el conflicto, incluidos los estados del golfo Pérsico.

Al preguntársele si el Kremlin está consultando a los países BRICS (el grupo de economías emergentes respaldado por China y Rusia del que Irán es miembro), Peskov afirmó que la pertenencia al BRICS no obliga a los miembros a prestarse asistencia mutua durante una agresión armada, lo que subraya el límite de la amistad de Moscú.

“Es una organización de naturaleza diferente e implica cooperación en otras áreas”, afirmó Peskov.

Irán y Rusia firmaron un tratado de 20 años en enero de 2025 para fortalecer su alianza económica, militar y política. Sin embargo, no llegó a ser un pacto de defensa mutua que obligara a Moscú a ayudar a Teherán en caso de agresión militar. Los límites del poder de Moscú también quedaron en evidencia tras los ataques israelíes-estadounidenses contra Irán en junio de 2025, cuando Moscú ofreció una condena retórica, pero no intervino ni ofreció apoyo militar.

En sus primeras declaraciones oficiales el domingo, el presidente Vladimir Putin calificó la muerte del líder supremo iraní de “asesinato cínico” que violaba “todas las normas de la moral humana y el derecho internacional”. Pero estas palabras fuertes son solo eso: palabras.

El líder supremo se une ahora a una creciente lista de socios a los que Moscú no ha podido proteger. El Kremlin no pudo impedir que Estados Unidos capturara al presidente de Venezuela, Nicolás Maduro, en una incursión de tropas estadounidenses en enero, y su antiguo aliado sirio, Bashar al-Assad, fue derrocado por fuerzas rebeldes en diciembre de 2024.

Estos episodios refuerzan la creciente percepción entre muchos observadores de que las alianzas del Kremlin son cada vez más simbólicas que estratégicas.

Es evidente que Moscú culpa a Estados Unidos e Israel del reciente estallido de hostilidades en Medio Oriente. El Ministerio de Asuntos Exteriores ruso calificó el sábado la campaña militar de “curso peligroso” con el objetivo de un cambio de régimen.

Pero con el Kremlin sumido en una larga y agotadora guerra en Ucrania y cada vez más limitado económica y militarmente, el papel de Moscú en el creciente conflicto de Medio Oriente podría limitarse a la retórica.

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By John Towfighi, CNN

New York (CNN) — Oil prices surged, global stocks sank and gold rose Monday as concerns about a broadening war with Iran began to ripple through financial markets.

Investors are bracing for volatility in global energy markets as developments unfold in the Middle East. While markets saw sharp moves, the volatility so far has been largely as expected, and Wall Street is on watch for potential further disruptions to oil and gas prices.

The escalation in tensions between the United States and Iran sparked a bid for haven assets, with investors scooping up gold and the US dollar as places to park their cash during the turmoil. Here’s a wrap up of how markets are reacting to the developing turmoil:

Global oil prices on Monday traded at their highest level in just over one year. Brent crude, the international benchmark, surged almost 9%, to $79.33 per barrel. That marks its highest level since last January — surpassing the levels reached during US strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities in June.

Meanwhile, West Texas Intermediate crude, the US benchmark, gained almost 8%, reaching $72.39 per barrel, its highest level since June. Oil prices surged as much as 13% Sunday evening before paring gains as investors hold hope for limited long-term disruptions to markets.

Stocks were lower across the globe. The Dow was down 483 points, or 1%, shortly after US markets opened Monday. The broader S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq each fell roughly 0.7%. Europe’s benchmark Stoxx 600 fell 1.88%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 dropped 1.35%.

Wall Street is widely betting on a tumultuous yet relatively short conflict. Stocks historically tend to shrug off geopolitical concerns or rebound shortly after tensions settle. Just how high oil prices rise will be critical for determining the impact on stocks.

And while investors are grappling with resurgent geopolitical turmoil, Wall Street is also dealing with lingering weakness in tech and AI stocks as well as some concerns about the health of private credit, elevated stock valuations and potential complacency in markets.

Wall Street’s fear gauge, the VIX, jumped 18% and traded at its highest level in three months.

Diesel prices surged on Monday, outpacing the gains in oil prices and hitting their highest level in two years. Europe gasoil futures surged nearly 20% and US diesel futures surged 15%.

Natural gas futures surged by a whopping 46% in Europe as the region braces for fallout from volatility in energy markets as conflicts rages in the Middle East. QatarEnergy, Qatar’s state-run energy company, on Monday halted production of liquefied natural gas after an Iranian attack on its facility in Ras Laffan. US natural gas futures rose 4%.

Gold prices surged 2.5% and traded at their highest level in one month. Gold briefly reclaimed $5,400 a troy ounce and was set for its biggest single-day gain since early February. Gold, traditional considered a haven, had been acting like a meme stock in recent weeks with volatile swings. But the metal benefited from haven demand Monday as the US-Iran conflict stirred up fresh uncertainty in markets.

The US dollar strengthened against other major currencies, benefitting from investors seeking ou

SANTA BARBARA, Calif. - A weak trough of low pressure is bringing a minor cooldown for Monday. Temperatures will cool 5-10 degrees with morning clouds. Morning marine layer and clouds may produce drizzle and mist for the beach communities and areas north of Point Conception. It will start to clear by midday.

Temperatures Monday will stay within 60-70 degrees throughout the Central Coast.

Gusty winds will start to increase Monday afternoon, coming from the North West to North East. A wind advisory goes into place for portions of Santa Barbara and Ventura county at 3 p.m. Monday until 3 a.m. Tuesday for wind speeds of 25-45 mph. There is a chance the wind advisory could be extended for later Tuesday. The National Weather Service says the higher terrain areas will feel the gustiest conditions, so be sure to plan accordingly.

By Wednesday another weak trough will drop through the region, keeping temperatures mild, however it will still be rather pleasant with mostly clear skies. The weekend will be another warm one, with temperatures reaching the 80s!

The post Mild temperatures and gusty winds for first week of March appeared first on News Channel 3-12.

SANTA BARBARA, Calif. - A weak trough of low pressure is bringing a minor cooldown for Monday. Temperatures will cool 5-10 degrees with morning clouds. Morning marine layer and clouds may produce drizzle and mist for the beach communities and areas north of Point Conception. It will start to clear by midday.

Temperatures Monday will stay within 60-70 degrees throughout the Central Coast.

Gusty winds will start to increase Monday afternoon, coming from the North West to North East. A wind advisory goes into place for portions of Santa Barbara and Ventura county at 3 p.m. Monday until 3 a.m. Tuesday for wind speeds of 25-45 mph. There is a chance the wind advisory could be extended for later Tuesday. The National Weather Service says the higher terrain areas will feel the gustiest conditions, so be sure to plan accordingly.

By Wednesday another weak trough will drop through the region, keeping temperatures mild, however it will still be rather pleasant with mostly clear skies. The weekend will be another warm one, with temperatures reaching the 80s!

The post Mild temperatures and gusty winds for first week of March appeared first on News Channel 3-12.