
Monkey Business Images // Shutterstock
For the better part of the past decade, it seemed like the short-term rental (STR) business was here to stay. Millions of property owners were able to monetize their investment through Airbnb with minor involvement, creating an opportunity to rake in passive income. However, a global pandemic that ground travel plans to a halt—followed by a spike in occupancy that flooded the market with subpar STR options—started to show some cracks in the business model.
As of 2026, many U.S. markets are facing challenges, including lower demand and stricter regulations, that point to a potential “collapse.” Others, meanwhile, are showing promise for stable, if subdued, growth.
For investors, location will be just as, if not more important than, the property itself when it comes to turning a profit and seeing a return on investment. To help you pinpoint the locations to look into (and the areas to avoid), Property Reach analyzed data provided by AirDNA to find the top hidden markets expected to experience either an Airbnb collapse or boom based on findings for 2025 and the outlook report for 2026. Let’s take a closer look.
What Is the ‘Airbnb Collapse’?
Following the post-pandemic travel frenzy that refreshed the STR market, many investors decided it was a better option to use their properties as Airbnbs instead of selling them. The ripple effect of too many available options on the market caused an imbalance in supply and demand, with prices dropping too low because of increased competition.
Likewise, with the U.S. economy facing higher inflation rates, Airbnb property upkeep costs became too high for some owners who weren’t breaking even. And as the travel boom slowed down, it didn’t make much sense to keep the Airbnb properties running amidst dwindling demand.
Paired with Airbnb’s crackdown on fraudulent listings, which removed over 59,000 properties in 2023, as well as stricter legislation in busy markets, customers found their options more limited. The result? Traditional hotels have once again become an attractive option.
Although some would call this phenomenon “collapse,” it may be more accurate to think of it as market maturity. Many of the Airbnb owners whose properties didn’t weather the storm weren’t experienced in the hospitality industry. Moreover, state regulations that limit who can and cannot use their property as an Airbnb aim to prevent potentially dangerous situations for both hosts and guests.
That said, there’s still a large gap between the markets that maintained high occupancy rates and a good ROI in recent years and others that weren’t so lucky.
Top 5 Markets Affecte